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Redemption For Emery?

An emphatic 3 goal win for Arsenal in Frankfurt and almost every fan, including yours truly, erupted with joy. Nobody could have been any happier than Unai Emery. Ever since the debacle at Watford last Sunday, he has come under enormous criticism from Arsenal fans everywhere in social media that the standard of football is inferior to the worse years of his predecessor (who shall remain un-named) and that this decline is due to his coaching.

But post Frankfurt everything is rosy in the Arsenal garden. The dot com is euphoric. According to Bukayo Sako, our young hero with a goal and two assists:

“It’s a very proud moment and I’m just so happy. It’s a dream come true, since I was as a kid I’ve always dreamed of scoring for Arsenal’s first team, so now I’ve done that and I just want to do it more and get that feeling many more times.”

Emiliano Martinez, who faced 28 shots but managed a clean sheet, pulling off some important saves to keep the Gunners in the game, was ecstatic:

“We’re over the moon with the back four because I thought we defended really well. We knew they were going to be strong in the air from crosses and we defended really well. It was a good performance.”

Has the euphoria of victory wiped away all the anxieties and doubts that have plagued supporters during most of the match?

How many us remember that for much of the first half Frankfurt had as many if not more chances to score than Arsenal?

Thanks to Joe Willock, we put our noses in front in the 38th minute, when his shot rocketed by Kevin Trapp thanks to a deflection. Yet it could easily have been 1-1 at the break if it wasn’t for brilliant goalkeeping by Martinez. To be honest either side could have been 2 or 3 goals up.

At half-time any Gooner with a sembIance of football literacy would have been appalled at the ease at which Franfurt surged through our midfield, attacking the back four and getting shots off.  Shades of Watford.

The match was still in doubt until around the 80th minute mark when the Germans were reduced to 10-men after a 2nd yellow card to one of their players. Shortly thereafter, Martinez had the intelligence, after snapping up a tame shot in his direction, rather than his usual long kick, rolled it out to Xhaka for a counterattack.  A sweeping move culminated in the young Sako curling an unsavable shot to the right of Trapp. Shortly thereafter a third goal was scored by Aubameyang after an assist by Sako, his second for the match.

Long into the night everyone was justifiably singing the praises of the 18 year-old academy graduate for a remarkable performance, putting in the shade players with bigger reputations and price tags. Even the usual scapegoats, Xhaka and Mustafi, earned some praise and generally escaped any criticism.

At the end of the game I tweeted:

“Arsenal is improving; allowed 24 shots at Frankfurt vs 31 shots at Watford, a whole 23%.”

My attempt at irony was completely lost on Twitter. I even had less traction with my follow-up tweet:

“Meanwhile I can think of 17 teams in the PL who would love taking 24 shots at Arsenal.”

I think it was Napoleon who once said that defeated armies learn best implying that in the euphoria of victory we fail to draw the correct lessons. While it may ultimately be a futile exercise, especially for those fans who only care about Wins and Losses, nonetheless I will share with you some key data points obtained from whoscored.com that suggests that while the wheel is not as deep in the mud, parts of Arsenal is still in a rut.

I have highlighted the improvements in green and the declines in red:

  • Possession and Pass percentage were down, significantly. Clearly the numbers support the anxiety many of us had that Arsenal had no control over midfield and it was too easy for Frankfurt cut us open, attack the back-four and get shots at goal.
  • Dribbles per game was marginally off belying all the hype that our wide players had great success in attacking the Germans.
  • There was a noticeable improvement in Shots pg and Shots On Target pg that is reflected in the scoreline, Arsenal’s highest for the season. Some caution is necessary however as the floodgates were open when Frankfurt were reduced to 10-men.
  • Aerials Won was a significant improvement which was remarked on by Martinez. Many have observed that despite the over-blown hysteria following errors by Mustafi the stats have shown he is one of our best aerial defenders.

At the end of the game, in his presser, Emery sounded an optimistic tone:

“We have the possibility of using the young players, of giving them chances, to help them take their chances to play and share that opportunity with experienced players. Their performance tonight was good. We played in our way, with them, with our experienced players and our spirit.”

Let us take that sound bite with a grain of salt. He would have had little chance of studying the analytics. If he is anywhere a leader like Napoleon, once he get the reports he would recognize the need to improve possession and pass percentage and to prevent teams getting so many shots off on our goalkeeper. He had a hard time achieving that at Seville finishing one season at the top of the table for shots conceded. The jury is still out at Arsenal.

7 Comments

  1. Hopefully Villa’s strikers will be of similar quality to Frankfurt, i expect the pgmo handicap in their favour to raise their XG to about a goal so I suspect the Gunners will need minimum two to take the three points, though I’d prefer to see a clean sheet.

    The decision to play Torreira as a No.8 who covers for Matteo who is a PL starter (how?!) seems as bizarre a call as the decisions with Rambo last season.

    Baffling.

    Reply
  2. 5.2 shots on Target per game is our Premier League Average from only 13 shots per game?

    This numbers are proper mid table numbers. Thank God we have Aubameyand and Lacazette up top otherwise we would be dead. This also shows the creativity level of Arsenal under Unai Emery!

    Reply
  3. Happy we won. Happy we created chances. Happy for the youngsters. For the rest, forget it, Emery can’t coach a defense, despite being a defensive minded coach. It’s funny how any half decent performance gets treated as a new dawn by those desperate for Emery to be something he’s not.

    Personally, I think Metallica predicted Emery when they said ‘It comes to be that the soothing light at the end of your tunnel was a freight train heading your way’.

    Reply
  4. Interesting that apart from the core supporters of this blog, some of whom haven’t posted their usual comment, is how little the average fan is concerned by the underlying data emerging from the Frankfurt match. I focus on the Possession and Pass percentage, which is fundamental to any level of football, and in the case of Arsenal they make horrible reading. If the opposition always has more of the ball and our passing is inaccurate then it is no wonder teams like Watford and Frankfurt are peppering our goal with shots. If these teams had decent strikers the GA would kill us.

    While it seems our attacking against Frankfurt improved compared to the PL, as Omar emphasized, 5.2 shots on Target per game as our Premier League average from only 13 shots per game is woeful.
    Manchester City: 20.4 and 7.6
    Liverpool: 18.2 and 6.8
    Tottenham: 15.4 and 7.6
    Bournemouth: 10.3 and 4.2
    Manchester United: 14.6 and 4.6
    Leicester: 12.4 and 3
    Chelsea: 16.6 and 6.2

    All the above teams are currently ahead of Arsenal in the PL tables and only proverbial mid-table Bournemouth and Leicester have less shots per game. Not only is this a telling statistic but it is a travesty that strikers of the class of Auba and Lacazette have so few opportunities compared to their peers.

    Reply
    • Oh well, I must say that I still come across the cliché phrase “same old Arsenal” very often, still all the time under Emery. Whatever they say, the only thing that really affects them is the result. Nothing more. It’s pretty much like the statement “Arsenal stopped playing beautiful football 12, 13 years ago”. That’s how some sections of fans see things, you know, no PL or CL final/title equals no good, no difference.

      Reply
    • Fully agree with you Shotta. You have to celebrate a win but the stats leave a lot to be desired. I did not watch and was pleasantly surprised by the score line but then I realized we scored two goals after the red card.
      Our issues remain. I will celebrate wins but I have to see way more than this and consistently.

      Reply

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